
If you happen to live in the United States of Americaland, two weeks from now will be a Saturday night full of beer and celebration as the F1 season kicks off for 2007. Australia, like Japan, China, and Malaysia, is a special treat for us American tv viewers as the time zones line up to make them night races. In other words, unless you are a scotch swilling commentator for Speed who's content with hitting the bottle at 5am these races offer us our only opprotunity to enjoy F1 with a drink in hand. So cheers it is, but lets take a look at how the teams seem to be shaping up thus far.
At the front of the field it's the usual suspects, with Ferrari and Mclaren throwing down the most impressive times the most often. Fernando Alonso commented this week that he feels slightly behind the red cars, while Massa and Raikkonnen have seemed confident in their pace. All the signs coming from Woking seem positive, but as we know there can be a big difference between pre-season spin and real performance. The biggest surprise thus far among the top two teams is how well Massa has looked against Raikkonen. Popular opinion had Kimi arriving at Ferrari and immediately dominating his less experienced team-mate, but so far the two ex-Sauber-ites have looked pretty even, with Massa coming out slightly ahead in most timed sessions. Maybe this is some Finnish mind trick, but I know I'm dying to see how they stack up come race time.
Chez Renault, its been another winter of understated performances. The world champions have made a habit of keeping a low profile over the off-season only to arrive at the season opener a step ahead of their rivals, and you can bet your baguettes Flavio will be hoping the technical team have again done their homework. Both of their championships came from seasons in which they weren't favorites, and although losing a star like Fernando has to be devastating, I find it hard to discount a team of this caliber... And by caliber I mean the both size of their gun barrels as well as the quality of their character...
Beyond the big three (not Ford, Chysler and GM) it is, as usual, hard to predict. BMW have shown excellent form, with many touting them as the big challenger to Ferrari and Mclaren instead of Renault. I always felt that Sauber had an excellent program that only lacked cash, and so far BMW seems to be taking advantage of that. If they really can make it to the pointy end of the grid this year it will be quite an accomplishment, with none happier about it than quick Nick Heidfeld. I'm sure the irony wouldn't be lost on him if he managed to get the ahead of Ferrari, a team made up entirely of drivers he was passed up for in the Sauber days. Until that happens though, I would tell Nick to focus on not being put on the Polish trailer by newbie Robert Kubica.
Other than these four, the rest of the grid has been working their asses off and finishing in various unremarkable grid combinations. Williams has comprehensibly outshone their engine supplier Toyota, which should be pissing off both the team from Cologne and Mark Webber, who once again seems to have made an unwise career decision. While I can understand the appeal of driving for Red Bull, and even more so the appeal of driving an Adrian Newey penned Red Bull, Webbo better put in some inspired performances to avoid the wrath of Red Bull's driver ADD. At this point it looks like he'll have his work cut out for him as all signs from the Red Bull camp seem to be "thumbs down."
Honda My Earth Dream Green Car Honda have been pounding round the test tracks trying to keep a low profile this winter. The last two seasons they routinely broke track records and won the "off season world championship" before under performing in the real season. After Jensen's win in Hungary last year the team definitely wants more, and they may have made a conscious decision to downplay their off season in the hopes of concentrating on what really matters. Also, Nick Fry has made it known that they have developed their car extensively in their wind tunnel and computing facilities without testing the parts on the track. If they can indeed make their simulations come true in Australia expect this to become a major trend in car design as it allows you to keep pieces secret until you bolt them on the car and kick everyone's ass with them. The downside is that many teams have found massive inconsistencies between what the wind tunnel tells them and what real world conditions tell them. Williams had a hell of a hard time with this issue last year.
ed's note: this morning Honda announced a major revamp of their car in time for the Malaysian GP. Which means that computational fluid dynamic boffinery didn't work out quite as well as hoped. Oooops for the Earth car. At least they're debuting version 2 at another night race! We'll be cheersing snake blood for this one.
As always though, the off season in F1 is a hard thing to judge, with teams running different programs and not necessarily trying to outdo each other. So really all we know is that there will be a bunch or races Michael Schumacher won't win, and somebody needs to step up and fill that void. As far as SofC's preparations for the season, we just need to figure out what we're serving Saturday night in two weeks time. Foster's oil cans? So predictable. Suggestions are welcome from our esteemed readership.